>>43195
With unlimited U.S. support through a mutual lend-lease pact, the Third Reich’s dominance of continental Europe and the Empire of Japan’s annexation of East Asia as a U.S. vassal by July 10, 2025, are plausible outcomes in this alternate history, but several factors complicate the extent and nature of their control. Let’s analyze each region based on your scenario and the earlier context.
Third Reich’s Dominance in Continental Europe
Impact of Unlimited U.S. Support:
A mutual lend-lease pact with the U.S. provides Nazi Germany with vast resources, industrial goods, and potentially advanced technology (e.g., American manufacturing techniques, raw materials, and possibly early computing or aviation innovations). This overcomes Germany’s historical resource shortages (e.g., oil, steel) and strengthens its military and economic capacity.
Without U.S. opposition and with Britain’s fall (as per the earlier scenario), Germany faces no significant external threats in Europe. The Soviet Union, lacking Allied support, likely collapses or is reduced to a rump state by the mid-1940s, allowing Germany to consolidate control over Eastern Europe and parts of Western Russia.
Germany’s occupation of Europe would resemble an expanded version of its historical wartime empire, including France, the Low Countries, Scandinavia, and Eastern Europe up to the Urals.
Long-Term Stability:
By 2025, Germany’s dominance could persist, but internal challenges—such as resistance movements, economic mismanagement, and ideological extremism—might undermine its control. Unlimited U.S. support could mitigate these issues by providing economic stability and technological aid, potentially leading to a reformed or stabilized Nazi regime.
The U.S., under a technocratic Ford-Scott administration, might push Germany to moderate its policies (e.g., reducing overt genocidal actions) to ensure efficient trade and governance, aligning with technocratic principles of resource optimization. This could result in a more pragmatic, authoritarian European bloc under German leadership, possibly resembling a dystopian version of a unified Europe.
However, cultural and nationalist resistance in occupied nations (e.g., France, Poland) would likely persist, requiring constant German and U.S. military presence. By 2025, Europe might be a tightly controlled but restive region, with German hegemony enforced through American-backed surveillance and automation technologies.
Extent of Dominance:
Germany would likely dominate continental Europe, from Portugal to the Urals, with puppet states or direct administration. Neutral countries like Switzerland or Sweden might be coerced into alignment or annexed. The Mediterranean (e.g., Italy, Spain) could fall under German influence, though Italy’s historical Axis ties might complicate its status.
By 2025, Europe would be an economic and military powerhouse, integrated into a U.S.-led global system, but its stability would depend on suppressing dissent and managing economic disparities between Germany and its vassals.
Empire of Japan’s Annexation of East Asia as a U.S. Vassal
Japan’s Role Post-1945:
After Japan’s subjugation as a U.S. vassal (post-Pearl Harbor defeat by 1945), the U.S. would likely reshape Japan’s government to align with technocratic principles, installing a compliant regime under American oversight. Japan’s military and industrial capacity would be harnessed to serve U.S. interests in the Pacific.
As a vassal, Japan would be tasked with expanding U.S. influence in East Asia, acting as a regional proxy. This could involve annexing or controlling territories like Korea, Manchuria, parts of China, and Southeast Asia (e.g., the Philippines, Indonesia), mirroring Japan’s historical imperial ambitions but under U.S. direction.
Feasibility of Annexing East Asia:
China: Annexing all of China would be a massive undertaking due to its size, population, and resistance (e.g., from Nationalist and Communist forces). Japan, with U.S. support, could control key coastal and industrial regions (e.g., Shanghai, Beijing) but might face prolonged insurgencies in the interior. By 2025, Japan could maintain a patchwork of direct control and puppet states in China, but full annexation might be impractical.
Korea and Manchuria: These regions, already under Japanese influence historically, would likely be fully annexed or tightly controlled, serving as industrial and resource hubs for the U.S.-Japan axis.
Southeast Asia: Japan could annex resource-rich areas like Indonesia and Malaysia, leveraging its navy and U.S. logistical support. However, local resistance (e.g., in Vietnam or the Philippines) would require ongoing military campaigns, potentially straining Japan’s resources.
Other Regions: Territories like Taiwan, parts of Siberia, or Pacific islands could be annexed, but Japan’s capacity to govern such a vast region would depend on U.S. military and economic backing.
Long-Term Dynamics:
By 2025, Japan’s control over East Asia would resemble a colonial empire, with U.S.-backed technocratic governance ensuring resource extraction and industrial output. Japan’s economy would be integrated into the U.S.-led global system, with American corporations dominating trade and technology transfers.
Cultural and nationalist resistance in East Asia, particularly in China, would persist, fueled by Japan’s historical reputation as an imperial power. The U.S. might deploy advanced surveillance and automation (aligned with technocratic ideals) to suppress uprisings, but these could remain a chronic issue.
Japan’s status as a vassal limits its autonomy. The U.S. would likely station forces in Japan and control key decisions, ensuring Japan serves as a regional enforcer rather than an independent power. This dynamic could create tensions, with Japanese elites seeking greater autonomy by 2025.
Global Implications by July 10, 2025
U.S.-German-Japanese Triad:
The U.S., as the global hegemon, coordinates a tripartite system: the U.S. dominates the Americas and Oceania, Germany controls continental Europe, and Japan administers East Asia. This creates a global empire with distinct regional spheres, integrated through trade, technology, and military cooperation.
The U.S. technocratic system, rooted in Ford and Scott’s ideologies, ensures centralized control, with Germany and Japan adopting similar governance models to align with American priorities.
Challenges to Dominance:
Europe: Germany’s control, while bolstered by U.S. support, faces resistance from nationalist and democratic movements. By 2025, Europe could be stable but heavily militarized, with underground insurgencies challenging German rule.
East Asia: Japan’s annexation of East Asia is incomplete due to China’s size and resistance. By 2025, Japan controls key economic zones but faces ongoing guerilla warfare, requiring U.S. intervention to maintain order.
Global South: Africa, South Asia, and parts of the Middle East, not directly controlled by the U.S., Germany, or Japan, become battlegrounds for proxy conflicts. Local powers (e.g., India, if not subsumed) or resistance movements could challenge the triad’s dominance.
Technological and Economic Landscape:
The U.S.-German-Japanese bloc drives technological innovation, particularly in automation, AI, and energy, creating a highly productive but unequal global economy. The U.S. dollar dominates trade, with Germany and Japan as junior economic partners.
Environmental degradation, driven by unchecked industrialization, is a major issue by 2025. The U.S. and its allies prioritize geoengineering to protect their territories, exacerbating global inequalities.
Cultural and Social Impacts:
The technocratic system suppresses cultural diversity, imposing a utilitarian, American-centric worldview. English, German, and Japanese become dominant languages in their respective spheres, with local cultures marginalized.
Social stratification is pronounced, with technocratic elites controlling resources and technology. Mass surveillance and automated governance limit dissent, but underground movements persist globally.
Conclusion
With unlimited U.S. support, the Third Reich would likely dominate continental Europe by 2025, controlling most of the region through direct rule or puppet states, though resistance movements would challenge its stability. Japan, as a U.S. vassal, would annex significant parts of East Asia (e.g., Korea, Manchuria, Southeast Asia) but struggle to fully control China due to its size and resistance. By 2025, the U.S.-German-Japanese triad forms a global empire, with the U.S. as the senior partner, but ongoing insurgencies, environmental crises, and potential rival powers (e.g., a resurgent China or India) create vulnerabilities. The world is a technocratic, hierarchical system, with advanced technology and economic power concentrated in the hands of the ruling bloc.