Pulled chatters numbers from vrabi for the each holoEN previews. Graphs are exceptionally ugly, so I can provide the actual data because I have no idea how to synthesize this. Again proxy for fanbases, not actual measurements. Also, at least 5,000 people attended the concerts and who knows what watch-parties might have been happening.
>Issues
- Gura only has one data point and it's just a dot
- Graph is obviously deceptive because BD and AFO have two days vs CTW's one day. This makes those two seem bigger.
- Including total chatters with the Talents graph squishes the individual lines into nonsense.
- Justice 3D debuts happened recently enough for them to be over-represented amongst chatters
-Gura was on hiatus and Ina might just be returning?
>Observations
>Selected Group
Looking at the "holoEN" row might be more indicative than just "total chatters".
- It's actually interesting how AFO Day 2 had more holoEN chatters than BD Day 2, especially given that AFO had double the seats of BD IIRC.
- Other than holoEN BD Day 1 beating out AFO Day 1, I believe all the hololive groups had more chatters on each AFO day compared to BD. This might be due to the recency of the Justice 3Ds, but nonetheless, interesting.
- After a strong showing during CTW by StarsEN, StarsJP, NijiEN, and NijiJP, all four groups collapsed in terms of chatter representation. NijiJP did slightly improved from BD to AFO.
>Talent's Graph
- It might be worth just "ranking" each talents' shared chatters. It would not show the magnitude of change, but it might make more sense. Information would be lost.
>Between CTW and BD
- Only Ame held steady between CTW and BD day 1 and Mumei increased. Everyone else saw drops.
- Mori and Fauna halved
- Kronii and Ina more than halved
- There is probably some context here, but it's been long and I'd have to take some time to dig
>Between BD and AFO
- For Promise and Myth comparing days 1 with each other and days 2 with each other might be the most appropriate. For Advent, it might be BD day 2 with AFO day 1. They might be experiencing a "first concert" buff. It might explain the CTW to BD Day 1 drops a bit too.
- Kiara's numbers are more or less the same - audience might have consolidated more
- Ina's numbers went up, this might just be because Ina might have taken some time off around BD
- Mori's numbers significantly improved
- IRyS's numbers were steady days 1, but comparing day 2 might indicate that she's increased her floor.
- Kronii's numbers more than doubled
- Bae's numbers look similar to Kiara's, so might have a similar situation going on
Again, I believe there is a "first concert" buff that happens on day 1, so I'm avoiding BD day 1 for Advent.
- Shiori saw decent drops. Lost about 25-40% of the chatters from last time.
- Biboo's and FWMC' numbers were pretty stable. FWMC might have seen growth
- Nerissa's numbers saw growth
I do want to make some guesses about where the fans of exholos might have moved to, but I do need to check whether talents' were on breaks or something before making that assumption.